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Crystal Palace U21 vs RB Leipzig II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

Crystal Palace U21 play RB Leipzig II in the Premier League International Cup 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Crystal Palace U21 averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. RB Leipzig II averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Crystal Palace U21 won 0, RB Leipzig II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 17, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.33 for Crystal Palace U21 and 1.65 for RB Leipzig II. This points to a RB Leipzig II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Crystal Palace U21
18%
Draws
48%
RB Leipzig II
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: RB Leipzig II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Crystal Palace U21 picked up more points recently compared to RB Leipzig II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.33 vs 1.65 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Crystal Palace U21 Clean Sheet 13%
RB Leipzig II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace U21 RB Leipzig II
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.77 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2025 Premier League International Cup
Crystal Palace U21 vs RB Leipzig II
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crystal Palace U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Derry J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

RB Leipzig II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sakar F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace U21 33 / 100
RB Leipzig II 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace U21 RB Leipzig II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: RB Leipzig II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Crystal Palace U21 attacking → ← attacking RB Leipzig II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crystal Palace U21 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

RB Leipzig II let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Crystal Palace U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

RB Leipzig II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 52
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.67

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Valencia B43106:210
2Nottingham U2143017:29
3Monaco II421110:57
4Jong Ajax42029:46
5Dinamo Zagreb 241127:104
6Reading U2141126:94
7Tottenham U2141034:133
8Wolves U2140224:82
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lyon II43015:29
2Ath Bilbao B422010:58
3Sunderland U2142116:67
4West Ham U2141217:75
5Benfica B41215:55
6Blackburn U2141125:64
7B. Monchengladbach II41037:93
8Middlesbrough U2141033:83
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nordsjaelland U21431010:510
2Fulham U21422013:98
3Hertha Berlin II421112:117
4Sparta Prague U2142028:76
5Norwich U2142026:76
6Jong PSV41219:75
7Manchester United U2140224:82
8Liverpool U2140047:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brighton U2144008:012
2Sporting CP B43019:49
3Chelsea U2142029:76
4Southampton U21420210:116
5RB Leipzig II42027:106
6Crystal Palace U2141127:74
7Real Sociedad B41127:84
8Anderlecht 240042:120