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Crystal Palace U21 vs Real Sociedad B

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Premier League International Cup VBS Community Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Crystal Palace U21 play Real Sociedad B in the Premier League International Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Crystal Palace U21 averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Real Sociedad B averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Crystal Palace U21 won 0, Real Sociedad B won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 18, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Crystal Palace U21 and 1.35 for Real Sociedad B. This points to a Real Sociedad B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Crystal Palace U21
19%
Draws
41%
Real Sociedad B
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Real Sociedad B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Crystal Palace U21 picked up more points recently compared to Real Sociedad B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.35 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Crystal Palace U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Real Sociedad B Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace U21 Real Sociedad B
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.82 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.83 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Premier League International Cup
Crystal Palace U21 vs Real Sociedad B
0:3
Sep 17, 2024 Premier League International Cup
Crystal Palace U21 vs Real Sociedad B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crystal Palace U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Real Sociedad B Compare

Top Goalscorer Agote U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nebreda E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace U21 40 / 100
Real Sociedad B 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace U21 Real Sociedad B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Sociedad B or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Crystal Palace U21 attacking → ← attacking Real Sociedad B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crystal Palace U21 scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Real Sociedad B let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Crystal Palace U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Real Sociedad B lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 41
1.83 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50