Sport Picks

England

EFL Cup Selhurst Park, London

Middlesbrough

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Crystal Palace have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Middlesbrough's 1.52 scored and 1.22 conceded. Past meetings favor Crystal Palace slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 31, 2018, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.19 - 2.00) back Crystal Palace to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Crystal Palace

15%

Draws

57%

Middlesbrough

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Middlesbrough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Middlesbrough haven't matched Crystal Palace's recent run of results.
57% — that's where the model lands on Middlesbrough taking it.
Crystal Palace have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Crystal Palace, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%

Middlesbrough Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Crystal Palace	Middlesbrough
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	12	9
Draws	5	10
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.34	1.52
Goals Conceded	1.52	1.22
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2018 EFL Cup

Middlesbrough vs Crystal Palace

1:0

Feb 25, 2017 Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough

1:0

Sep 10, 2016 Premier League

Middlesbrough vs Crystal Palace

1:2

Feb 16, 2013 Championship

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough

4:1

Aug 25, 2012 Championship

Middlesbrough vs Crystal Palace

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace 10 / 100

Middlesbrough 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Crystal Palace Middlesbrough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Middlesbrough Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Crystal Palace scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Middlesbrough has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Crystal Palace remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace VS Middlesbrough

0.88 Goals Scored 1.88

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Crystal Palace

(Home)

28 Aug

Crystal Palace

1 : 4

Manchester City

22 Aug

Everton

2 : 0

Crystal Palace

15 Aug

Freiburg

3 : 0

Crystal Palace

07 Aug

Fulham

1 : 2

Crystal Palace

31 Jul

Crystal Palace

3 : 1

Al-Ula

Page 1 of 6

Middlesbrough

(Away)

29 Aug

Middlesbrough

3 : 1

West Brom

25 Aug

Doncaster

1 : 3

Middlesbrough

22 Aug

Blackburn

2 : 1

Middlesbrough

15 Aug

Middlesbrough

2 : 1

Lincoln City

07 Aug

Middlesbrough

1 : 0

Wrexham

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Stockport County 1

Doncaster 2

Middlesbrough 1

Wrexham 0

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 3

Swindon 2

Norwich 4

Milton Keynes Dons 1

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 2

Oldham 0

TBD -

Hull City -

Plymouth 2

Exeter 0

TBD -

Coventry -

TBD -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea -

TBD -

Gillingham 0

Luton 3

Nottingham -

TBD -

Leeds -

Ipswich -

TBD -

Leicester 1

Northampton 0

TBD -

Arsenal -

Colchester 0

Southampton 2

West Ham 3

Portsmouth 1

Fulham -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon 2

Newport 1

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Grimsby 1

Blackpool 3

Derby 1

Lincoln City 2

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham -

TBD -

Cheltenham 1

Charlton 3

Cambridge Utd 2

Barnet 1

QPR 1

Millwall 2

Newcastle Utd -

TBD -

Rotherham 1

West Brom 4

Fleetwood Town 1

Chesterfield 0

Salford 1

Shrewsbury 2

Burton 1

Blackburn 2

Mansfield 0

Sheffield Utd 3

Preston 2

Huddersfield 1

TBD -

Everton -

Sheffield Wed 1

Bolton 0

Wolves 3

Port Vale 0

Bristol City 0

Walsall 1

Leyton Orient 2

Oxford Utd 0

Bradford City 2

Rochdale 0

Burnley 2

Notts County 1

Wycombe 1

Stevenage 2

Bromley 1

Reading 2

Swansea 0

Birmingham 1

TBD -

Brentford -

Watford 1

Crawley Town 0

Bristol Rovers 0

Peterborough 1

Barnsley 2

Wigan 1

Crewe 2

Accrington 1

1/32-finals

Crystal Palace -

TBD -

Doncaster 1

Middlesbrough 3

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Cardiff 1

Norwich 2

Sunderland -

TBD -

Stoke City 1

Hull City 2

Plymouth 2

Coventry 4

TBD -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea 2

Luton 0

Nottingham 0

Leeds 2

Ipswich 3

Leicester 1

TBD -

Arsenal -

Southampton 1

West Ham 4

Fulham 3

AFC Wimbledon 0

Bournemouth -

TBD -

Blackpool 1

Lincoln City 4

Liverpool -

TBD -

Tottenham 5

Charlton 1

Cambridge Utd 0

Millwall 1

Newcastle Utd 3

West Brom 2

Fleetwood Town 4

Shrewsbury 0

Blackburn 1

Sheffield Utd 2

Preston 0

Everton 4

Sheffield Wed 0

Wolves 2

Walsall 0

Leyton Orient 1

Bradford City 1

Burnley 0

Stevenage 0

Reading 3

Birmingham 1

Brentford 6

Watford 1

Peterborough 5

Barnsley 3

Crewe 2

1/16-finals

Crystal Palace -

Middlesbrough -

Manchester United -

Brighton -

Manchester City -

Norwich -

Sunderland -

Hull City -

Coventry -

Aston Villa -

Chelsea -

Leeds -

Ipswich -

Arsenal -

West Ham -

Fulham -

Bournemouth -

Lincoln City -

Liverpool -

Tottenham -

Millwall -

Newcastle Utd -

Fleetwood Town -

Sheffield Utd -

Everton -

Wolves -

Leyton Orient -

Bradford City -

Reading -

Brentford -

Peterborough -

Barnsley -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough

England

Crystal Palace

Middlesbrough

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Crystal Palace

Middlesbrough

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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