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Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Selhurst Park, London
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crystal Palace host Newcastle Utd in the Premier League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Newcastle Utd have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Crystal Palace have conceded 1.69 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Crystal Palace slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.63, favoring Crystal Palace. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Crystal Palace
20%
Draws
40%
Newcastle Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crystal Palace come out ahead of Newcastle Utd on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Crystal Palace's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 14%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace Newcastle Utd
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Utd
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Crystal Palace
2:0
Apr 16, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Crystal Palace
5:0
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Utd
1:1
Apr 24, 2024 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Utd
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace 48 / 100
Newcastle Utd 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace Newcastle Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crystal Palace Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Crystal Palace scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Crystal Palace stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace VS Newcastle Utd
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Crystal Palace

(Home)
15 Oct
Lyon
3 : 2
Crystal Palace
11 Oct
Crystal Palace
3 : 1
Nottingham
03 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2
Bristol City
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
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Newcastle Utd

(Away)
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1
Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2
Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 6 6 0 0 16:5 18
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 10:5 15
3 Brighton 6 4 1 1 18:5 13
4 Brentford 6 2 4 0 12:6 10
5 Everton 6 2 4 0 8:5 10
6 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 15:13 10
7 Leeds 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
8 Hull City 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
9 Liverpool 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
10 Ipswich 6 3 0 3 9:12 9
11 Newcastle Utd 6 2 2 2 10:13 8
12 Crystal Palace 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 Manchester United 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
14 Coventry 6 2 0 4 5:11 6
15 Nottingham 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Aston Villa 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Sunderland 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
18 Bournemouth 6 0 3 3 7:13 3
19 Tottenham 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
20 Fulham 6 0 2 4 6:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)