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Crystal Palace vs Nottingham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Selhurst Park, London
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crystal Palace host Nottingham in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Nottingham have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Crystal Palace have conceded 1.47 and scored 1.53. Head-to-head, Crystal Palace have won 0 to Nottingham's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.31) back Nottingham to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Crystal Palace
30%
Draws
23%
Nottingham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Crystal Palace

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Crystal Palace carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Crystal Palace's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 68%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace Nottingham
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Nottingham vs Crystal Palace
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham
1:1
May 5, 2025 Premier League
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham
1:1
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League
Nottingham vs Crystal Palace
1:0
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Nottingham vs Crystal Palace
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace 95 / 100
Nottingham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace Nottingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crystal Palace Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crystal Palace found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Nottingham conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Crystal Palace stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace VS Nottingham
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Crystal Palace

(Home)
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3
Ipswich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0
Middlesbrough
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3
Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 7

Nottingham

(Away)
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1
Coventry
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2
Nottingham
25 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 2
Leeds
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 5 5 0 0 13:5 15
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 16:5 10
4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 10:4 9
5 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 Liverpool 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
7 Everton 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
8 Hull City 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
9 Newcastle Utd 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
10 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
11 Ipswich 5 2 0 3 7:11 6
12 Manchester United 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
13 Nottingham 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Sunderland 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
16 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
17 Bournemouth 5 0 3 2 6:8 3
18 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1:10 3
19 Fulham 5 0 2 3 5:8 2
20 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)