Sport Picks
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar
Europe
Conference League 2025/2026 Selhurst Park, London 
Match Events
10'
10'
Pino Y.
15'
15'
Bondar V.
25'
25'
Pedro Henrique
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Crystal Palace in this Conference League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Shakhtar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Shakhtar have won more games recently than Crystal Palace.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Shakhtar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Crystal Palace, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 11%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Crystal Palace | Shakhtar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 7, 2026 Conference League
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar
2:1
Apr 30, 2026 Conference League
Shakhtar vs Crystal Palace
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Crystal Palace Compare
Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Shakhtar Compare
Top Goalscorer Eguinaldo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Crystal Palace 35 / 100
Shakhtar 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Crystal Palace Shakhtar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Crystal Palace scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Crystal Palace has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Shakhtar has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Crystal Palace VS Shakhtar
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Crystal Palace
(Home) 20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0 Crystal Palace
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3 Ipswich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 Middlesbrough
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0 Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3 Ipswich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 Middlesbrough
28 Aug
Crystal Palace
1 : 4 Manchester City
31 Jul
Crystal Palace
3 : 1 Al-Ula
Page 1 of 4
Shakhtar
(Away) 20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0 LNZ Cherkasy
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3 Shakhtar
14 Sept
Shakhtar
2 : 0 Ch. Odesa
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1 Shakhtar
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2 Shakhtar
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
0 : 3 Shakhtar
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1 Shakhtar
05 Sept
Karpaty Lviv
1 : 2 Shakhtar
16 Aug
FC Kharkiv
0 : 1 Shakhtar
09 Aug
Epitsentr
0 : 2 Shakhtar
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0
