Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar

Europe Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 Selhurst Park, London
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Pino Y.
15'
Bondar V.
25' Event
Pedro Henrique
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Crystal Palace in this Conference League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Crystal Palace
15%
Draws
53%
Shakhtar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shakhtar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Shakhtar have won more games recently than Crystal Palace.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Shakhtar taking it.
  • Shakhtar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crystal Palace, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 11%
Shakhtar Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace Shakhtar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.36 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Conference League
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar
2:1
Apr 30, 2026 Conference League
Shakhtar vs Crystal Palace
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crystal Palace Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Shakhtar Compare

Top Goalscorer Eguinaldo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace 10 / 100
Shakhtar 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace Shakhtar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shakhtar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Crystal Palace scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Shakhtar has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Crystal Palace has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace VS Shakhtar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Crystal Palace

(Home)
28 Aug
Crystal Palace
1 : 4
Manchester City
22 Aug
Everton
2 : 0
Crystal Palace
15 Aug
Freiburg
3 : 0
Crystal Palace
07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2
Crystal Palace
31 Jul
Crystal Palace
3 : 1
Al-Ula
Page 1 of 6

Shakhtar

(Away)
29 Aug
Shakhtar
0 : 2
Polissya Zhytomyr
16 Aug
FC Kharkiv
0 : 1
Shakhtar
09 Aug
Epitsentr
0 : 2
Shakhtar
03 Aug
Shakhtar
5 : 1
Kudrivka
26 Jul
Bursaspor
0 : 0
Shakhtar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
KuPS 0
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
Noah 1
AZ Alkmaar 4
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
Zrinjski 1
Crystal Palace 3
AEK Larnaca -
TBD -
Jagiellonia 4
Fiorentina 5
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Shkendija Tetovo 0
Samsunspor 5
Rayo Vallecano -
TBD -
Drita 4
Celje 6
AEK -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc 3
Lausanne 2
Mainz -
TBD -
Omonia 1
Rijeka 4
Strasbourg -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Lech Poznan 3
Shakhtar 4
AZ Alkmaar 6
Sparta Prague 1
Crystal Palace 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Fiorentina 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Samsunspor 2
Rayo Vallecano 3
Celje 2
AEK 4
Sigma Olomouc 0
Mainz 2
Rijeka 2
Strasbourg 3
Quarter-finals
Shakhtar 5
AZ Alkmaar 2
Crystal Palace 4
Fiorentina 2
Rayo Vallecano 4
AEK 3
Mainz 2
Strasbourg 4
Semi-finals
Shakhtar 2
Crystal Palace 5
Rayo Vallecano 2
Strasbourg 0
Final
Crystal Palace 1
Rayo Vallecano 0