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Crystal Palace W vs Arsenal W

England England

Women's League Cup VBS Community Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Codina L.
Assist: Cooney-Cross K.
42'
Nolan H.
61'
Sub
Pelova V. In: Little K.
Out: Pelova V.

AI Match Summary

The Women's League Cup game between Crystal Palace W and Arsenal W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsenal W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Crystal Palace W
40%
Draws
29%
Arsenal W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Crystal Palace W haven't matched Arsenal W's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Arsenal W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Crystal Palace W Clean Sheet 14%
Arsenal W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Crystal Palace W Arsenal W
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 16 27
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.17 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2025 Women's League Cup
Crystal Palace W vs Arsenal W
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 WSL
Crystal Palace W vs Arsenal W
0:4
Jan 19, 2025 WSL
Arsenal W vs Crystal Palace W
5:0
May 16, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Arsenal W vs Crystal Palace W
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Crystal Palace W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Arsenal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Codina L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blackstenius S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Crystal Palace W 31 / 100
Arsenal W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Crystal Palace W Arsenal W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crystal Palace W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Crystal Palace W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Arsenal W has conceded goals in 54% of their last 37 outings.

Scoring Trends

Crystal Palace W VS Arsenal W
2.17 Goals Scored 2.5
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
West Ham W1
Manchester City W5
Liverpool W1
Chelsea W9
Crystal Palace W0
Arsenal W2
Manchester United W2
Tottenham W1
Semi-finals
Manchester City W0
Chelsea W1
Arsenal W0
Manchester United W1
Final
Chelsea W2
Manchester United W0