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CS Maruinense vs Propria

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CS Maruinense
35%
Draws
30%
Propria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Propria at 1.44 per game, CS Maruinense at 0.8.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CS Maruinense taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor CS Maruinense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
CS Maruinense Clean Sheet 19%
Propria Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Maruinense Propria
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 0.8 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Sergipano 3
Propria vs CS Maruinense
0:0
Oct 16, 2025 Sergipano 3
CS Maruinense vs Propria
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Maruinense 42 / 100
Propria 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Maruinense Propria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Propria let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CS Maruinense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CS Maruinense's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CS Maruinense VS Propria
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Maruinense

(Home)
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

Propria

(Away)
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
05 Oct
Propria
1 : 1
Socorrense
02 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Propria
27 Sept
Propria
1 : 1
Socorro
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Socorro 4
Botafogo ASF 2
Sete de Junho 2
Socorrense 5
Estanciano EC 3
Santa Cruz SE 0
Propria 0
CS Maruinense 4
Semi-finals
Socorro 2
Socorrense 3
Estanciano EC 4
CS Maruinense 0
Final
Socorrense 1
Estanciano EC 2