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CS Sfaxien vs Metlaoui

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade Taïeb Mehiri, Sfax
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Ben Ali O.
55' Event
Ben Ali O.
61'
Sub
Guesmi M. I. In: Mnasri H.
Out: Guesmi M. I.

AI Match Summary

CS Sfaxien in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CS Sfaxien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
CS Sfaxien
15%
Draws
20%
Metlaoui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CS Sfaxien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • CS Sfaxien have won more games recently than Metlaoui.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on CS Sfaxien taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet 68%
Metlaoui Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Sfaxien Metlaoui
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 1.55 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.41 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Metlaoui
2:0
Aug 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs CS Sfaxien
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Metlaoui
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Metlaoui vs CS Sfaxien
2:1
Nov 25, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs Metlaoui
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CS Sfaxien Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Ali O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Metlaoui Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Sfaxien 95 / 100
Metlaoui 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Sfaxien Metlaoui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Sfaxien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CS Sfaxien scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CS Sfaxien remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Metlaoui's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CS Sfaxien VS Metlaoui
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Sfaxien

(Home)
20 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1
CS Sfaxien
13 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0
Shooting
05 Sept
Shooting
1 : 0
CS Sfaxien
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Zarzis
Page 1 of 6

Metlaoui

(Away)
13 Sept
Jeunesse Sportive
1 : 0
Metlaoui
06 Sept
Metlaoui
1 : 0
Hamam-Sousse
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1
Metlaoui
23 Aug
Metlaoui
0 : 1
Club Africain
17 May
Metlaoui
1 : 3
Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)