Sport Picks
Match Events
46'
46'
Condega J.
59'
59'
Jimenez P.
Own Goal
62'
62'
Gramaglia F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between CS Uruguay and Aserri finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aserri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CS Uruguay come out ahead of Aserri on wins alone.
- Aserri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
CS Uruguay Clean Sheet 16%
Aserri Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CS Uruguay | Aserri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Aserri
0:1
Mar 10, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs CS Uruguay
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Aserri
2:2
Oct 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Aserri
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs CS Uruguay
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CS Uruguay Compare
Top Goalscorer Condega J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Aserri Compare
Top Goalscorer Gramaglia F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alpizar D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CS Uruguay 10 / 100
Aserri 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CS Uruguay Aserri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aserri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CS Uruguay scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Aserri let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: CS Uruguay remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CS Uruguay VS Aserri
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CS Uruguay
(Home) 18 Sept
Carmelita
6 : 0 CS Uruguay
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1 Aserri
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1 CS Uruguay
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0 FC Moravia
23 Aug
Santa Ana
3 : 1 CS Uruguay
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1 Aserri
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0 FC Moravia
08 Aug
CS Uruguay
0 : 1 Cariari Pococi
02 Aug
CS Uruguay
2 : 2 Carmelita
19 Apr
CS Uruguay
2 : 5 Quepos FC
Page 1 of 3
Aserri
(Away) 20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0 Santa Ana
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1 Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1 Cariari Pococi
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2 Aserri
22 Aug
Aserri
1 : 1 Pitbulls
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1 Aserri
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2 Aserri
15 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 2 Aserri
01 Aug
Santa Ana
1 : 0 Aserri
04 Apr
Escorpiones
8 : 0 Aserri
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADR Jicaral | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Inter San Carlos | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Quepos FC | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:21 | 28 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 17 |
| 5 | Grecia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 6 | AD Sarchi | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:23 | 17 |
| 7 | Cofutpa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:27 | 10 |
| 8 | Dep. Upala | 14 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 15:31 | 5 |
| 9 | Municipal Turrialba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Escorpiones | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 32 |
| 2 | CS Uruguay | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:20 | 23 |
| 3 | Pitbulls | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Moravia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 5 | Cariari Pococi | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19:23 | 15 |
| 6 | Aserri | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 15:28 | 14 |
| 7 | Santa Ana | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 19:28 | 12 |
| 8 | Carmelita | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 9 | Limon Black Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
