Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CS Uruguay vs Cariari Pococi

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Martinez J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 game between CS Uruguay and Cariari Pococi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CS Uruguay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CS Uruguay
30%
Draws
42%
Cariari Pococi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cariari Pococi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CS Uruguay come out ahead of Cariari Pococi on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
CS Uruguay Clean Sheet 14%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CS Uruguay Cariari Pococi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Cariari Pococi
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Cariari Pococi
1:0
Mar 4, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs CS Uruguay
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs CS Uruguay
6:1
Sep 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
CS Uruguay vs Cariari Pococi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CS Uruguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cariari Pococi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CS Uruguay 31 / 100
Cariari Pococi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CS Uruguay Cariari Pococi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cariari Pococi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariari Pococi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: CS Uruguay scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

CS Uruguay went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CS Uruguay VS Cariari Pococi
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CS Uruguay

(Home)
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
CS Uruguay
1 : 0
FC Moravia
23 Aug
Santa Ana
3 : 1
CS Uruguay
18 Aug
Pitbulls
2 : 1
CS Uruguay
Page 1 of 6

Cariari Pococi

(Away)
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
21 Aug
FC Moravia
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
08 Aug
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)