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CSA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
CSA Logo

CSA

3 - 0
FT
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Logo

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
de Melo M. A.
72' Event
Felix Jorge
80' Event
Samuel Reis
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CSA
30%
Draws
39%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSA lately — more wins on the board than Cruzeiro Arapiraca.
  • CSA are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • CSA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CSA, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CSA have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
CSA Clean Sheet 20%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSA Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.87 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Alagoano
CSA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2:0
Feb 4, 2026 Copa Alagoas
CSA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3:0
Mar 13, 2024 Copa Alagoas
CSA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 Alagoano
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs CSA
0:2
Feb 11, 2023 Alagoano
CSA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSA Compare

Top Goalscorer de Melo M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felix Jorge
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSA 42 / 100
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSA Cruzeiro Arapiraca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSA found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Cruzeiro Arapiraca let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: CSA remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSA VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSA

(Home)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
08 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
CSA
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 7

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

(Away)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
10 Mar
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 3
Dimensao Capela
07 Feb
CSA
2 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
04 Feb
CSA
3 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
31 Jan
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
2 CRB 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Coruripe 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
4 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
5 Dimensao Capela 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
6 Alianca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 5 4 1 0 10:1 13
2 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
3 Zumbi 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
4 Murici 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
5 SC Penedense 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Miguelense 5 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)