Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Buba
26'
Isaac
46'
Sub
Dudu Figueiredo In: de Melo M. A.
Out: Dudu Figueiredo

AI Match Summary

CSA in this Alagoano matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CSA
30%
Draws
39%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSA lately — more wins on the board than Cruzeiro Arapiraca.
  • CSA are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Alagoano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CSA have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
CSA Clean Sheet 20%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSA Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Alagoano
CSA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2:0
Feb 4, 2026 Copa Alagoas
CSA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3:0
Mar 13, 2024 Copa Alagoas
CSA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 Alagoano
Cruzeiro Arapiraca vs CSA
0:2
Feb 11, 2023 Alagoano
CSA vs Cruzeiro Arapiraca
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Buba
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ronaldo Mendes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSA 42 / 100
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSA Cruzeiro Arapiraca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSA's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CSA has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSA VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSA

(Home)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
08 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
CSA
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 8

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

(Away)
18 Mar
Coruripe
1 : 1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
10 Mar
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 3
Dimensao Capela
07 Feb
CSA
2 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
04 Feb
CSA
3 : 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
31 Jan
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
2 : 1
Coruripe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 7 5 2 0 13:3 17
2 CSA 7 5 2 0 10:1 17
3 CRB 7 4 1 2 8:8 13
4 Murici 7 3 2 2 8:5 11
5 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7 2 0 5 6:12 6
6 Coruripe 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
7 SC Penedense 7 1 2 4 2:8 5
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)