Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSA vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estádio Rei Pelé, Maceió
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
CSA
20%
Draws
51%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional-AM (Manaus) come out ahead of CSA on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nacional-AM (Manaus) a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Nacional-AM (Manaus) arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CSA, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CSA Clean Sheet 23%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSA Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.83 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Serie D
CSA vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0:0
Aug 28, 2026 Serie D
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs CSA
3:1
Sep 4, 1986 Serie A Betano
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs CSA
0:0
Mar 20, 1985 Serie A Betano
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs CSA
1:0
Jan 31, 1985 Serie A Betano
CSA vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSA 29 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSA Nacional-AM (Manaus)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional-AM (Manaus) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSA scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Nacional-AM (Manaus) has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

CSA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSA VS Nacional-AM (Manaus)
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CSA

(Home)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
08 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
CSA
26 Jul
CSA
2 : 1
Sao Luiz
Page 1 of 6

Nacional-AM (Manaus)

(Away)
03 Sept
CSA
0 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
28 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 1
CSA
16 Aug
ABC
1 : 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
08 Aug
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 2
ABC
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
CSA 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Goiatuba EC 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1