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Stadium Background

CSCD Grecia vs Espoli

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSCD Grecia play Espoli in the Serie B 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSCD Grecia averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Espoli averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, CSCD Grecia won 1, Espoli won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 2, 2013 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for CSCD Grecia and 0.99 for Espoli. This points to a CSCD Grecia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CSCD Grecia
32%
Draws
33%
Espoli
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: CSCD Grecia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • CSCD Grecia picked up more points recently compared to Espoli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
CSCD Grecia Clean Sheet 23%
Espoli Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSCD Grecia Espoli
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.52

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2013 Serie B
CSCD Grecia vs Espoli
2:0
Aug 3, 2013 Serie B
Espoli vs CSCD Grecia
1:0
Jun 1, 2013 Serie B
Espoli vs CSCD Grecia
1:0
Mar 30, 2013 Serie B
CSCD Grecia vs Espoli
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSCD Grecia 36 / 100
Espoli 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSCD Grecia Espoli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CSCD Grecia or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSCD Grecia attacking → ← attacking Espoli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSCD Grecia scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Espoli let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

CSCD Grecia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Espoli lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olmedo442951076:4392
2Mushuc Runa442491152:4481
3Imbabura4421111263:4774
4Aucas442161769:5369
5Guayaquil City4418141257:4368
6Tecnico U.4417141360:5365
7Deportivo Municipal441682048:6056
8Espoli4413102144:5549
9Univ. Cotopaxi441392248:5748
10Dep. Azogues4411132049:7046
11CSCD Grecia4411122144:6445
12Circulo Deportivo Ferroviarios448132347:6837