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Stadium Background

CSD Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Juan Antonio Arias Stadium, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Moreno F.
20'
Ursino D.
22'
Cacace J.

AI Match Summary

Argentino de Merlo in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Argentino de Merlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
CSD Liniers
15%
Draws
26%
Argentino de Merlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSD Liniers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSD Liniers lately — more wins on the board than Argentino de Merlo.
  • Model gives CSD Liniers a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CSD Liniers Clean Sheet 68%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSD Liniers Argentino de Merlo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.82 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo
1:2
May 9, 2026 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs CSD Liniers
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs CSD Liniers
5:1
May 4, 2025 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo
1:3
Sep 14, 2024 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs Argentino de Merlo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSD Liniers Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Argentino de Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSD Liniers 95 / 100
Argentino de Merlo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSD Liniers Argentino de Merlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSD Liniers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: CSD Liniers scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Argentino de Merlo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: CSD Liniers remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSD Liniers VS Argentino de Merlo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSD Liniers

(Home)
03 Oct
CSD Liniers
1 : 0
Excursionistas
26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
CSD Liniers
20 Sept
CSD Liniers
1 : 2
Argentino de Merlo
12 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
0 : 2
CSD Liniers
06 Sept
CSD Liniers
2 : 2
Laferrere
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Argentino de Merlo

(Away)
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Villa San Carlos
20 Sept
CSD Liniers
1 : 2
Argentino de Merlo
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Real Pilar
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 39 20 12 7 53:26 72
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 39 17 14 8 39:24 65
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Deportivo Armenio 39 17 10 12 42:38 61
8 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
9 Comunicaciones 39 14 14 11 39:34 56
10 Laferrere 39 13 13 13 47:51 52
11 San Martin Burzaco 39 12 14 13 40:44 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Dep. Merlo 39 10 15 14 37:52 45
15 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 39 9 17 13 32:39 44
17 CSD Liniers 39 10 14 15 32:40 44
18 Flandria 39 11 9 19 35:48 42
19 Defensores Unidos 39 9 14 16 33:40 41
20 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 39 1 13 25 27:64 16
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)