Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSD Liniers vs Excursionistas Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Juan Antonio Arias Stadium, Buenos Aires
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSD Liniers host Excursionistas in the Primera B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: CSD Liniers at 0.76 goals for, 1 against; Excursionistas at 1.69 for, 0.9 against. Past meetings favor Excursionistas slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.50) back Excursionistas to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
CSD Liniers
20%
Draws
56%
Excursionistas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Excursionistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Excursionistas lately — more wins on the board than CSD Liniers.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Excursionistas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
CSD Liniers Clean Sheet 16%
Excursionistas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSD Liniers Excursionistas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.76 1.69
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Primera B
Excursionistas vs CSD Liniers
4:1
Oct 12, 2025 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs Excursionistas
1:0
Jun 11, 2025 Primera B
Excursionistas vs CSD Liniers
1:0
Jun 29, 2024 Primera B
Excursionistas vs CSD Liniers
0:0
Feb 13, 2024 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs Excursionistas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSD Liniers 23 / 100
Excursionistas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSD Liniers Excursionistas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Excursionistas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Excursionistas has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

CSD Liniers has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CSD Liniers scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

CSD Liniers VS Excursionistas
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CSD Liniers

(Home)
26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
CSD Liniers
20 Sept
CSD Liniers
1 : 2
Argentino de Merlo
12 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
0 : 2
CSD Liniers
06 Sept
CSD Liniers
2 : 2
Laferrere
29 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1
CSD Liniers
Page 1 of 6

Excursionistas

(Away)
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Real Pilar
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
07 Sept
Excursionistas
2 : 1
Ituzaingo
29 Aug
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 0
Excursionistas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 37 22 8 7 59:29 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 37 19 12 6 50:24 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 37 19 10 8 40:21 67
4 Villa Dalmine 37 17 13 7 38:21 64
5 Deportivo Camioneros 37 17 12 8 42:27 63
6 Sportivo Italiano 37 17 11 9 43:28 62
7 Real Pilar 37 16 10 11 40:38 58
8 Deportivo Armenio 37 16 9 12 39:38 57
9 Comunicaciones 37 14 12 11 38:33 54
10 Laferrere 37 12 12 13 44:49 48
11 Dock Sud 37 11 14 12 40:39 47
12 San Martin Burzaco 37 11 14 12 37:40 47
13 Villa San Carlos 37 10 14 13 36:39 44
14 Argentino de Merlo 37 11 11 15 32:37 44
15 Dep. Merlo 37 10 13 14 36:51 43
16 Argentino de Quilmes 37 9 15 13 29:36 42
17 Defensores Unidos 37 9 13 15 32:38 40
18 CSD Liniers 37 9 13 15 30:39 40
19 Brown Adrogue 37 8 14 15 24:37 38
20 Flandria 37 10 8 19 33:47 38
21 UAI Urquiza 37 4 20 13 18:33 32
22 Ituzaingo 37 1 12 24 23:59 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)