Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSD Liniers vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Juan Antonio Arias Stadium, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Lugarzo L.
26' Event
Guerra A.
54'
Sub
Gauna B. In: Linas M.
Out: Gauna B.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between CSD Liniers and Sportivo Italiano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Italiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CSD Liniers
30%
Draws
47%
Sportivo Italiano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Italiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CSD Liniers haven't matched Sportivo Italiano's recent run of results.
  • Sportivo Italiano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sportivo Italiano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CSD Liniers Clean Sheet 16%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSD Liniers Sportivo Italiano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs Sportivo Italiano
0:1
Feb 27, 2026 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs CSD Liniers
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs Sportivo Italiano
1:3
Jun 7, 2025 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs CSD Liniers
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs CSD Liniers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSD Liniers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sportivo Italiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSD Liniers 28 / 100
Sportivo Italiano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSD Liniers Sportivo Italiano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Italiano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: CSD Liniers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CSD Liniers scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Sportivo Italiano conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CSD Liniers VS Sportivo Italiano
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSD Liniers

(Home)
26 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
CSD Liniers
20 Sept
CSD Liniers
1 : 2
Argentino de Merlo
12 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
0 : 2
CSD Liniers
06 Sept
CSD Liniers
2 : 2
Laferrere
29 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1
CSD Liniers
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Italiano

(Away)
26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2
Sportivo Italiano
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
12 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0
Sportivo Italiano
05 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
3 : 1
Flandria
29 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 2
Sportivo Italiano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 37 22 8 7 59:29 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 37 19 12 6 50:24 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 37 19 10 8 40:21 67
4 Villa Dalmine 37 17 13 7 38:21 64
5 Deportivo Camioneros 37 17 12 8 42:27 63
6 Sportivo Italiano 37 17 11 9 43:28 62
7 Real Pilar 37 16 10 11 40:38 58
8 Deportivo Armenio 37 16 9 12 39:38 57
9 Comunicaciones 37 14 12 11 38:33 54
10 Laferrere 37 12 12 13 44:49 48
11 Dock Sud 37 11 14 12 40:39 47
12 San Martin Burzaco 37 11 14 12 37:40 47
13 Villa San Carlos 37 10 14 13 36:39 44
14 Argentino de Merlo 37 11 11 15 32:37 44
15 Dep. Merlo 37 10 13 14 36:51 43
16 Argentino de Quilmes 37 9 15 13 29:36 42
17 Defensores Unidos 37 9 13 15 32:38 40
18 CSD Liniers 37 9 13 15 30:39 40
19 Brown Adrogue 37 8 14 15 24:37 38
20 Flandria 37 10 8 19 33:47 38
21 UAI Urquiza 37 4 20 13 18:33 32
22 Ituzaingo 37 1 12 24 23:59 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)