Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSF Balti vs Sfintul Gheorghe

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup 2022/2023
Wed, May 3, 2023
3 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sub
Eduardo Kau In: Svinarenco S.
Out: Eduardo Kau
16'
Calaidjoglu C.
19' Event
Motpan N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with CSF Balti advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CSF Balti
15%
Draws
85%
Sfintul Gheorghe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sfintul Gheorghe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CSF Balti have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Sfintul Gheorghe are scoring more at 1.
  • Win probability leans Sfintul Gheorghe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sfintul Gheorghe, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
CSF Balti Clean Sheet 20%
Sfintul Gheorghe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSF Balti Sfintul Gheorghe
Matches Played 35 23
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2023 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sfintul Gheorghe
0:0
May 3, 2023 Moldovan Cup
CSF Balti vs Sfintul Gheorghe
3:1
Apr 29, 2023 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sfintul Gheorghe
0:2
Apr 26, 2023 Moldovan Cup
Sfintul Gheorghe vs CSF Balti
1:0
Mar 17, 2023 Super Liga
Sfintul Gheorghe vs CSF Balti
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSF Balti Compare

Top Goalscorer Motpan N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sfintul Gheorghe Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngah C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSF Balti 10 / 100
Sfintul Gheorghe 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSF Balti Sfintul Gheorghe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sfintul Gheorghe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sfintul Gheorghe has conceded goals in 61% of their last 23 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Sfintul Gheorghe's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

CSF Balti's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CSF Balti VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSF Balti

(Home)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
CSF Balti
06 Sept
CSF Balti
1 : 3
Milsami
30 Aug
Petrocub Hincesti
3 : 0
CSF Balti
22 Aug
CSF Balti
0 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau
Page 1 of 7

Sfintul Gheorghe

(Away)
20 May
Petrocub Hincesti
3 : 0
Sfintul Gheorghe
14 May
Sfintul Gheorghe
0 : 2
Sheriff Tiraspol
07 May
Milsami
3 : 0
Sfintul Gheorghe
03 May
CSF Balti
3 : 1
Sfintul Gheorghe
29 Apr
CSF Balti
0 : 2
Sfintul Gheorghe
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Visoca 2
Inter Soroca 1
Granicerul 1
Speranta Drochia 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
Riscani 1
Edinet 2
Cruiz Plus -
Iskra Ribnita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dacia Buiucani -
Codru Calarasi 0
FCM Ungheni 1
EFA Visoca 0
Floresti 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Petrocub Hincesti -
Locomotiva Ocnita 2
Falesti 1
Pepeni 1
Olimpia Falesti 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Milsami -
La Familia 4
Real Succes 0
Singerei 2
Speranis 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sfintul Gheorghe -
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Socol Copceac 2
Vasieni 3
Straseni 1
Victoria 3
CSF Balti -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maiak Chirsova 3
Cimislia 1
Stauceni 2
Sparta Selemet 1
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 1
Sucleia 0
Slobozia 1
Olimp Comrat 4
1/16-finals
Visoca 0
Speranta Drochia 2
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
Edinet 0
Iskra Ribnita 2
TBD -
Dacia Buiucani -
FCM Ungheni 0
Floresti 3
TBD -
Petrocub Hincesti -
Locomotiva Ocnita 1
Pepeni 0
TBD -
Milsami -
La Familia 3
Singerei 0
TBD -
Sfintul Gheorghe -
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Vasieni 0
Victoria 5
CSF Balti -
TBD -
Maiak Chirsova 0
Stauceni 2
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 2
Olimp Comrat 0
1/8-finals
Speranta Drochia 0
Sheriff Tiraspol 6
Iskra Ribnita 0
Dacia Buiucani 7
Floresti 2
Petrocub Hincesti 3
Locomotiva Ocnita 0
Milsami 2
La Familia 0
Sfintul Gheorghe 5
Zimbru Chisinau 3
Victoria 0
CSF Balti 4
Stauceni 0
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol 0
Univer Comrat 2
Quarter-finals
Sheriff Tiraspol 6
Dacia Buiucani 1
Petrocub Hincesti 6
Milsami 1
Sfintul Gheorghe 4
Zimbru Chisinau 3
CSF Balti 9
Univer Comrat 1
Semi-finals
Sheriff Tiraspol 3
Petrocub Hincesti 0
Sfintul Gheorghe 2
CSF Balti 3
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol 1
CSF Balti 0