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CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Orasenesc
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSF Balti play Sheriff Tiraspol in the Super Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSF Balti averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Sheriff Tiraspol averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. In past meetings, CSF Balti won 1, Sheriff Tiraspol won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for CSF Balti and 1.31 for Sheriff Tiraspol. This points to a Sheriff Tiraspol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
CSF Balti
6%
Draws
90%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CSF Balti.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sheriff Tiraspol.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super Liga 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
CSF Balti Clean Sheet 18%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSF Balti Sheriff Tiraspol
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:3
Jul 13, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSF Balti 10 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSF Balti Sheriff Tiraspol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSF Balti scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Sheriff Tiraspol let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CSF Balti went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sheriff Tiraspol lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSF Balti VS Sheriff Tiraspol
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrocub Hincesti1081120:340
2Sheriff Tiraspol1072114:534
3Zimbru Chisinau1053218:1132
4Milsami102355:1319
5CSF Balti102264:1516
6Dacia Buiucani100196:202