Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga Stadionul Orasenesc, Balti
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Jaures-Ulrich L.
32' Event
Sapata
38' Event
Swen N.

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga game between CSF Balti and Sheriff Tiraspol finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sheriff Tiraspol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CSF Balti
15%
Draws
85%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sheriff Tiraspol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sheriff Tiraspol's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sheriff Tiraspol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
CSF Balti Clean Sheet 10%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSF Balti Sheriff Tiraspol
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 5 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.69 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.31 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
7:0
Aug 2, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:5
Apr 18, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Super Liga
CSF Balti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs CSF Balti
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSF Balti Compare

Top Goalscorer Roga S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaures-Ulrich L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sapata
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSF Balti 10 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSF Balti Sheriff Tiraspol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

CSF Balti found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Sheriff Tiraspol conceded in 46% of 35 recent games.

Difficult form: Sheriff Tiraspol registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSF Balti VS Sheriff Tiraspol
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSF Balti

(Home)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
CSF Balti
06 Sept
CSF Balti
1 : 3
Milsami
30 Aug
Petrocub Hincesti
3 : 0
CSF Balti
22 Aug
CSF Balti
0 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau
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Sheriff Tiraspol

(Away)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 13 8 4 1 32:10 28
2 Zimbru Chisinau 13 8 2 3 27:12 26
3 Petrocub Hincesti 13 7 3 3 24:13 24
4 Dacia Buiucani 13 6 2 5 17:16 20
5 Milsami 13 4 5 4 13:17 17
6 Politehnica UTM 13 4 3 6 18:19 15
7 Real Sireti 13 0 7 6 8:19 7
8 CSF Balti 13 1 2 10 9:42 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)