Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA 1948 Sofia host Cherno More in the efbet League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cherno More have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while CSKA 1948 Sofia have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.52. Head-to-head, CSKA 1948 Sofia have won 1 to Cherno More's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (1.19 - 0.88) back CSKA 1948 Sofia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
35%
Draws
14%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CSKA 1948 Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CSKA 1948 Sofia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA 1948 Sofia Cherno More
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.52 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
0:4
Nov 9, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More
0:4
Jul 19, 2024 efbet League
Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
0:0
Mar 15, 2024 efbet League
Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA 1948 Sofia 76 / 100
Cherno More 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA 1948 Sofia Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA 1948 Sofia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CSKA 1948 Sofia found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Cherno More let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA 1948 Sofia VS Cherno More
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Home)
05 Aug
Panathinaikos
1 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia
31 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Arda
28 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1 : 0
Spartak Trnava
25 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
22 Jul
Spartak Trnava
0 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More

(Away)
01 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
26 Jul
Cherno More
0 : 3
Spartak Varna
19 Jul
Botev Vratsa
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Jul
Cherno More
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
08 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 2
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Ludogorets 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Spartak Varna 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
5 CSKA Sofia 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
6 Botev Plovdiv 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
7 Arda 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
8 Lok. Plovdiv 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
9 Lok. Sofia 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
10 Slavia Sofia 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
11 Botev Vratsa 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
12 Cherno More 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
13 Septemvri Sofia 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
14 Dunav Ruse 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)