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CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Achi M.
Assist: Joao Bandaro
34'
Tombak E.
35'

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between CSKA 1948 Sofia and Cherno More finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
20%
Draws
29%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA 1948 Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CSKA 1948 Sofia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA 1948 Sofia Cherno More
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.52 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More
4:1
Apr 15, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
0:4
Nov 9, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More
0:4
Jul 19, 2024 efbet League
Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Maciel F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Iliev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Achi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA 1948 Sofia 95 / 100
Cherno More 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA 1948 Sofia Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA 1948 Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSKA 1948 Sofia scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Cherno More conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

CSKA 1948 Sofia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA 1948 Sofia VS Cherno More
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Home)
11 Oct
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More

(Away)
11 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)