Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
CSKA 1948 Sofia Logo

CSKA 1948 Sofia

2 - 0
FT
Lok. Plovdiv Logo

Lok. Plovdiv

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Ryan L.
34'
Cova A.
35'
Umarbaev P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between CSKA 1948 Sofia and Lok. Plovdiv finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
15%
Draws
0%
Lok. Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA 1948 Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA 1948 Sofia come out ahead of Lok. Plovdiv on wins alone.
  • Model gives CSKA 1948 Sofia a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA 1948 Sofia Lok. Plovdiv
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.67 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
Mar 5, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
0:5
Sep 20, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
4:0
May 25, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsonev B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Franco E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lok. Plovdiv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA 1948 Sofia 95 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA 1948 Sofia Lok. Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA 1948 Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Plovdiv's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: CSKA 1948 Sofia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Lok. Plovdiv let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CSKA 1948 Sofia VS Lok. Plovdiv
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Home)
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1
Cherno More
11 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
08 Aug
Lok. Sofia
1 : 3
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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Lok. Plovdiv

(Away)
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2
Dunav Ruse
07 Aug
Levski Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
03 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 6 6 0 0 18:3 18
2 Ludogorets 7 5 2 0 12:5 17
3 CSKA Sofia 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
5 Arda 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
6 Septemvri Sofia 7 2 2 3 5:10 8
7 Spartak Varna 7 2 2 3 9:13 8
8 Slavia Sofia 6 1 4 1 6:4 7
9 Botev Plovdiv 7 2 1 4 8:12 7
10 Cherno More 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
11 Botev Vratsa 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
12 Dunav Ruse 6 1 0 5 5:12 3
13 Lok. Plovdiv 7 1 0 6 3:10 3
14 Lok. Sofia 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)