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CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
CSKA 1948 Sofia Logo

CSKA 1948 Sofia

2 - 0
FT
Lok. Plovdiv Logo

Lok. Plovdiv

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Ryan L.
34'
Cova A.
35'
Umarbaev P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between CSKA 1948 Sofia and Lok. Plovdiv finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
20%
Draws
44%
Lok. Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA 1948 Sofia come out ahead of Lok. Plovdiv on wins alone.
  • Model gives CSKA 1948 Sofia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CSKA 1948 Sofia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA 1948 Sofia Lok. Plovdiv
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
Mar 5, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
0:5
Sep 20, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
4:0
May 25, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA 1948 Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsonev B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Franco E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lok. Plovdiv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA 1948 Sofia 36 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA 1948 Sofia Lok. Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA 1948 Sofia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Lok. Plovdiv has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: CSKA 1948 Sofia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA 1948 Sofia VS Lok. Plovdiv
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Home)
16 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
0 : 4
CSKA 1948 Sofia
11 Oct
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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Lok. Plovdiv

(Away)
21 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv
16 Oct
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 2
Lok. Plovdiv
10 Oct
Lok. Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)