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CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA 1948 Sofia host Spartak Varna in the efbet League. This one's hard to separate. Spartak Varna have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while CSKA 1948 Sofia have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.52. Head-to-head, CSKA 1948 Sofia have won 1 to Spartak Varna's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.63 - 0.81) back CSKA 1948 Sofia to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
30%
Draws
18%
Spartak Varna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA 1948 Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSKA 1948 Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Spartak Varna.
  • Win probability leans CSKA 1948 Sofia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CSKA 1948 Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA 1948 Sofia Spartak Varna
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna
1:1
Nov 29, 2024 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 efbet League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA 1948 Sofia 85 / 100
Spartak Varna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA 1948 Sofia Spartak Varna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA 1948 Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA 1948 Sofia found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Spartak Varna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

CSKA 1948 Sofia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA 1948 Sofia VS Spartak Varna
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA 1948 Sofia

(Home)
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Varna

(Away)
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)