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CSKA Moscow 2 vs TVMK Tallinn

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CIS Cup 2006
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AI Match Summary

CSKA Moscow 2 play TVMK Tallinn in the CIS Cup 2006. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSKA Moscow 2 averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. TVMK Tallinn averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, CSKA Moscow 2 won 1, TVMK Tallinn won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 15, 2006 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for CSKA Moscow 2 and 2.81 for TVMK Tallinn. This points to a CSKA Moscow 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
CSKA Moscow 2
15%
Draws
36%
TVMK Tallinn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSKA Moscow 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • CSKA Moscow 2 picked up more points recently compared to TVMK Tallinn.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
CSKA Moscow 2 Clean Sheet 10%
TVMK Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Moscow 2 TVMK Tallinn
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.62 2.42
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2006 CIS Cup
CSKA Moscow 2 vs TVMK Tallinn
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow 2 46 / 100
TVMK Tallinn 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Moscow 2 TVMK Tallinn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CSKA Moscow 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSKA Moscow 2 attacking → ← attacking TVMK Tallinn

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Moscow 2 scored in 92% of their last 13 games.

TVMK Tallinn let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

CSKA Moscow 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

TVMK Tallinn lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 48
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CSKA Moscow 233006:39
2Pakhtakor32018:56
3Dinamo Tbilisi30121:31
4TVMK Tallinn30120:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Neftci Baku32106:27
2FK Liepaja32016:36
3Aktobe31112:44
4Vakhsh30031:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sheriff Tiraspol320110:36
2Shakhtar 232018:46
3HTTU Asgabat32014:56
4Dordoi Bishkek30030:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Russia U1932013:46
2FBK Kaunas31114:24
3Shakhtyor Soligorsk31114:34
4Pyunik Yerevan31023:53