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CSKA Moscow vs Akron Togliatti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup VEB Arena, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Arevalo K.
Assist: Dmitriev A.
11'
Khosonov K.
24'
Sub
Nedelcearu I. In: Escoval R.
Out: Nedelcearu I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CSKA Moscow
30%
Draws
23%
Akron Togliatti
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSKA Moscow lately — more wins on the board than Akron Togliatti.
  • Win probability leans CSKA Moscow's way, sitting at 90%.
  • CSKA Moscow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Akron Togliatti, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 18%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Moscow Akron Togliatti
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs CSKA Moscow
2:2
Aug 18, 2026 Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs CSKA Moscow
1:2
Jan 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Akron Togliatti vs CSKA Moscow
1:3
Oct 21, 2025 Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Moscow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Akron Togliatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Arevalo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow 85 / 100
Akron Togliatti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Moscow Akron Togliatti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

CSKA Moscow scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Akron Togliatti conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

CSKA Moscow has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Moscow VS Akron Togliatti
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Moscow

(Home)
11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
Page 1 of 6

Akron Togliatti

(Away)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Akron Togliatti
06 Sept
Orenburg
2 : 2
Akron Togliatti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)