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CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between CSKA Moscow and Arsenal Tula finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CSKA Moscow
20%
Draws
23%
Arsenal Tula
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Moscow come out ahead of Arsenal Tula on wins alone.
  • Model gives CSKA Moscow a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 17%
Arsenal Tula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Moscow Arsenal Tula
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
3:1
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
1:1
Dec 11, 2021 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Arsenal Tula
2:0
Sep 12, 2021 Premier League
Arsenal Tula vs CSKA Moscow
2:2
Apr 8, 2021 Russian Cup
Arsenal Tula vs CSKA Moscow
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow 66 / 100
Arsenal Tula 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Moscow Arsenal Tula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arsenal Tula conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

CSKA Moscow found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CSKA Moscow stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Moscow VS Arsenal Tula
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2
CSKA Moscow
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Arsenal Tula

(Away)
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2
Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
SKA Khabarovsk
08 Sept
Tekstilshtik
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula
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