Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Moscow vs Din. Samarkand

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Joao Victor
17' Event
Tukhtasinov N.
30' Event
Gondou L.

AI Match Summary

Din. Samarkand in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Din. Samarkand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CSKA Moscow
30%
Draws
39%
Din. Samarkand
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Din. Samarkand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Din. Samarkand lately — more wins on the board than CSKA Moscow.
  • Win probability leans CSKA Moscow's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 16%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Moscow Din. Samarkand
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Din. Samarkand
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gondou L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Din. Samarkand Compare

Top Goalscorer Tukhtasinov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amonov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow 41 / 100
Din. Samarkand 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Moscow Din. Samarkand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CSKA Moscow scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Din. Samarkand's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: CSKA Moscow stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Moscow VS Din. Samarkand
1.13 Goals Scored 1.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Moscow

(Home)
08 Aug
CSKA Moscow
0 : 0
FK Rostov
04 Aug
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 2
CSKA Moscow
01 Aug
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
24 Jul
CSKA Moscow
2 : 1
Baltika
18 Jul
Dynamo Moscow
5 : 2
CSKA Moscow
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Din. Samarkand

(Away)
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1
Din. Samarkand
03 Aug
Din. Samarkand
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona
29 Jul
Din. Samarkand
3 : 2
Kokand 1912
23 Jul
Termez Surkhon
1 : 2
Din. Samarkand
18 Jul
Qizilqum
1 : 2
Din. Samarkand
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