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CSKA Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League VEB Arena, Moscow
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Yurganov I.
46'
Sub
Musaev T. In: Gondou L.
Out: Musaev T.
46'
Matheus Alves

AI Match Summary

CSKA Moscow in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CSKA Moscow
20%
Draws
23%
Fakel Voronezh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Fakel Voronezh haven't matched CSKA Moscow's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on CSKA Moscow taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Moscow Fakel Voronezh
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
1:0
Feb 17, 2025 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs CSKA Moscow
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow 95 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Moscow Fakel Voronezh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Moscow found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Fakel Voronezh let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CSKA Moscow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Moscow VS Fakel Voronezh
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Moscow

(Home)
11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
Page 1 of 6

Fakel Voronezh

(Away)
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5
Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)