Sport Picks
CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League VEB Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
32'
32'
Popovic M.
Assist: Gondou L.
63'
63'
Vityugov M.
Assist: Banjac M.
64'
64'
Sub
Popovic M. In: Henrique Carmo
Out: Popovic M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- CSKA Moscow have won more games recently than Krylya Sovetov Samara.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 11%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CSKA Moscow | Krylya Sovetov Samara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs CSKA Moscow
1:1
Apr 7, 2026 Russian Cup
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs CSKA Moscow
2:5
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CSKA Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Popovic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare
Top Goalscorer Vityugov M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CSKA Moscow 35 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CSKA Moscow Krylya Sovetov Samara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: CSKA Moscow scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Krylya Sovetov Samara conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
CSKA Moscow has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
CSKA Moscow VS Krylya Sovetov Samara
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CSKA Moscow
(Home) 04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3 CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2 CSKA Moscow
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04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1 Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
22 Aug
CSKA Moscow
3 : 2 Lokomotiv Moscow
18 Aug
CSKA Moscow
0 : 1 Akron Togliatti
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Krylya Sovetov Samara
(Away) 02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0 Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
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16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
23 Aug
Akron Togliatti
0 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
04 Aug
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 2 Krylya Sovetov Samara
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:18 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
