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CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League VEB Arena, Moscow
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Moscow host Rodina Moscow in the Premier League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: CSKA Moscow at 1.38 goals for, 1.38 against; Rodina Moscow at 1.79 for, 1.79 against. Past meetings favor CSKA Moscow slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2024, ending 4:0. xG projections (2.19 - 1.31) back CSKA Moscow to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CSKA Moscow
20%
Draws
23%
Rodina Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rodina Moscow lately — more wins on the board than CSKA Moscow.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on CSKA Moscow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 18%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Moscow Rodina Moscow
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2024 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow 49 / 100
Rodina Moscow 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Moscow Rodina Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

CSKA Moscow scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Rodina Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: CSKA Moscow stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Moscow VS Rodina Moscow
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2
CSKA Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Rodina Moscow

(Away)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)