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CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League VEB Arena, Moscow
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Moscow host Spartak Moscow in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. CSKA Moscow have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Spartak Moscow's 1.62 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Spartak Moscow slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.56) point toward Spartak Moscow. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CSKA Moscow
20%
Draws
40%
Spartak Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • CSKA Moscow haven't matched Spartak Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CSKA Moscow a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 15%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Moscow Spartak Moscow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Russian Cup
Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow
3:2
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow 35 / 100
Spartak Moscow 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Moscow Spartak Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Moscow's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Spartak Moscow has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CSKA Moscow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Moscow VS Spartak Moscow
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2
CSKA Moscow
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Spartak Moscow

(Away)
10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1
Spartak Moscow
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1
Rodina Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)