Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Moscow W vs Spartak Moscow W

Russia Russia

Russia Cup Women 2025 Stadion Novye Chimki, Khimki
CSKA Moscow W Logo

CSKA Moscow W

3 - 2
FT
Spartak Moscow W Logo

Spartak Moscow W

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Filipovic T.
42'
Yakupova L.
46'
Sub
Ermakova V. In: Yakovleva D.
Out: Ermakova V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with CSKA Moscow W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CSKA Moscow W
17%
Draws
13%
Spartak Moscow W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CSKA Moscow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • CSKA Moscow W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CSKA Moscow W a 70% chance of winning this.
  • CSKA Moscow W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CSKA Moscow W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CSKA Moscow W Clean Sheet 68%
Spartak Moscow W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Moscow W Spartak Moscow W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 24 20
Draws 3 6
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 3.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Supreme Division Women
CSKA Moscow W vs Spartak Moscow W
3:1
Jun 13, 2026 Super Cup Women
Spartak Moscow W vs CSKA Moscow W
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs CSKA Moscow W
2:2
Sep 14, 2025 Russia Cup Women
CSKA Moscow W vs Spartak Moscow W
3:2
Aug 29, 2025 Russia Cup Women
Spartak Moscow W vs CSKA Moscow W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolic M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yakovleva D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Spartak Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Filipovic T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morozova N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Moscow W 77 / 100
Spartak Moscow W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Moscow W Spartak Moscow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Moscow W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: CSKA Moscow W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Spartak Moscow W has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Moscow W VS Spartak Moscow W
3.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Moscow W

(Home)
24 Jul
CSKA Moscow W
2 : 1
Ryazan W
17 Jul
CSKA Moscow W
2 : 0
FK Rostov W
11 Jul
CSKA Moscow W
3 : 1
Spartak Moscow W
04 Jul
OSSH Chelyabinsk W
0 : 13
CSKA Moscow W
27 Jun
CSKA Moscow W
0 : 0
Zenit St Petersburg W
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Spartak Moscow W

(Away)
25 Jul
Dynamo Moscow W
1 : 2
Spartak Moscow W
18 Jul
Spartak Moscow W
5 : 0
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
11 Jul
CSKA Moscow W
3 : 1
Spartak Moscow W
04 Jul
Pari Nizhny Novgorod W
0 : 9
Spartak Moscow W
27 Jun
Spartak Moscow W
1 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W1
FK Rostov W2
Master Saturn Egorievsk W0
Zenit St Petersburg W3
Akademiya Tambov W0
Lokomotiv Moscow W12
Zvezda 2005 W0
Ryazan W1
FC Chertanovo Moscow W0
Krasnodar W2
Ural W0
CSKA Moscow W8
Spartak Moscow W5
Rubin Kazan W1
Dynamo Moscow W0
Krylya Sovetov Samara W2
Quarter-finals
FK Rostov W0
Zenit St Petersburg W2
Lokomotiv Moscow W3
Ryazan W1
Krasnodar W0
CSKA Moscow W4
Spartak Moscow W1
Krylya Sovetov Samara W0
Semi-finals
Zenit St Petersburg W5
Lokomotiv Moscow W3
CSKA Moscow W4
Spartak Moscow W2
Final
Zenit St Petersburg W0
CSKA Moscow W1