Sport Picks

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe vs Sardor Tursunzoda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga

Sardor Tursunzoda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe host Sardor Tursunzoda in the Vysshaya Liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: CSKA Pomir Dushanbe at 1.39 goals for, 1.18 against; Sardor Tursunzoda at 1.5 for, 1.83 against. Past meetings favor CSKA Pomir Dushanbe slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.56) back CSKA Pomir Dushanbe to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

35%

Draws

32%

Sardor Tursunzoda

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to CSKA Pomir Dushanbe lately — more wins on the board than Sardor Tursunzoda.
42% — that's where the model lands on CSKA Pomir Dushanbe taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Clean Sheet 15%

Sardor Tursunzoda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSKA Pomir Dushanbe	Sardor Tursunzoda
Matches Played	28	18
Wins	12	3
Draws	7	6
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.39	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Vysshaya Liga

Sardor Tursunzoda vs CSKA Pomir Dushanbe

0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 41 / 100

Sardor Tursunzoda 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe Sardor Tursunzoda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sardor Tursunzoda has conceded goals in 83% of their last 18 outings.

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Pomir Dushanbe VS Sardor Tursunzoda

0.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History