Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia II vs Montana

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Yordanov K.
20'
Sub
Vasilev V. In: Kamenov S.
Out: Vasilev V.
31'
Stoychev M.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between CSKA Sofia II and Montana finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CSKA Sofia II
20%
Draws
29%
Montana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Sofia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Sofia II come out ahead of Montana on wins alone.
  • CSKA Sofia II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 16%
Montana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia II Montana
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.82 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Montana
4:0
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia II vs Montana
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Montana
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Vtora liga
Montana vs CSKA Sofia II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Yordanov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhivkov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Montana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia II 84 / 100
Montana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia II Montana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia II's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Montana conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

CSKA Sofia II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia II VS Montana
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia II

(Home)
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
5 : 1
Spartak Pleven
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
25 Aug
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 1
Ludogorets II
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Montana

(Away)
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0
Montana
30 Aug
Montana
3 : 0
Gorna
22 Aug
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1
Montana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 9 6 3 0 21:8 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 9 5 2 2 19:8 17
3 Fratria 9 4 4 1 12:7 16
4 Yantra Gabrovo 9 5 1 3 12:9 16
5 Chernomorets 1919 9 4 3 2 12:6 15
6 Beroe 9 4 3 2 12:8 15
7 Etar 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
8 Nesebar 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
9 Marek 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
10 Ludogorets II 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
11 Rilski Sportist 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
12 Gorna 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
13 Hebar 9 3 2 4 18:17 11
14 Montana 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
15 Spartak Pleven 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
16 Svoge 9 1 4 4 4:7 7
17 Dobrudzha 9 1 3 5 9:14 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 9 0 0 9 3:30 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)