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CSKA Sofia III vs Chavdar Etropole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia III host Chavdar Etropole in the Third League - South-West. This has CSKA Sofia III written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: CSKA Sofia III at 1.19 goals for, 0.89 against; Chavdar Etropole at 0.46 for, 2.71 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.00) point toward CSKA Sofia III. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
CSKA Sofia III
20%
Draws
42%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chavdar Etropole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Chavdar Etropole haven't matched CSKA Sofia III's recent run of results.
  • CSKA Sofia III are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 20%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia III Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 1
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 1.19 0.46
Goals Conceded 0.89 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia III 58 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia III Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chavdar Etropole's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

CSKA Sofia III scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: CSKA Sofia III stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Chavdar Etropole registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia III VS Chavdar Etropole
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia III

(Home)
17 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia III
10 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
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Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
17 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
03 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
19 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 3
Levski Sofia II
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