Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia III vs Kyustendil

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CSKA Sofia III
35%
Draws
30%
Kyustendil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Kyustendil at 1.24 per game, CSKA Sofia III at 1.17.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CSKA Sofia III taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kyustendil have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 20%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia III Kyustendil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Kyustendil
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Kyustendil
2:3
Aug 9, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs CSKA Sofia III
5:3
May 31, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs CSKA Sofia III
5:1
Nov 16, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Kyustendil
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia III 42 / 100
Kyustendil 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia III Kyustendil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

CSKA Sofia III's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kyustendil has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: CSKA Sofia III stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia III VS Kyustendil
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia III

(Home)
12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1
Kyustendil
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
Page 1 of 6

Kyustendil

(Away)
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1
Kyustendil
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 6