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CSKA Sofia III vs Pirin Razlog

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between CSKA Sofia III and Pirin Razlog finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
CSKA Sofia III
35%
Draws
9%
Pirin Razlog
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia III carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CSKA Sofia III's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CSKA Sofia III here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia III Pirin Razlog
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Pirin Razlog
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs CSKA Sofia III
0:2
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs CSKA Sofia III
2:1
Sep 11, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Pirin Razlog
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia III 85 / 100
Pirin Razlog 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia III Pirin Razlog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia III's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pirin Razlog has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CSKA Sofia III remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia III VS Pirin Razlog
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia III

(Home)
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1
Kyustendil
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
08 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 0
Strumska Slava
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Pirin Razlog

(Away)
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
22 Aug
Pirin Razlog
2 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
15 Aug
Bansko
3 : 1
Pirin Razlog
08 Aug
Pirin Razlog
0 : 3
Minyor Pernik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)