Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III

3 - 1

Pirin Razlog

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between CSKA Sofia III and Pirin Razlog finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

CSKA Sofia III

Draws

Pirin Razlog

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

CSKA Sofia III carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans CSKA Sofia III's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors CSKA Sofia III here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 20%

Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSKA Sofia III	Pirin Razlog
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	13
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III vs Pirin Razlog

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-West

Pirin Razlog vs CSKA Sofia III

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Mar 15, 2025 Third League - South-West

Pirin Razlog vs CSKA Sofia III

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sep 11, 2024 Third League - South-West

CSKA Sofia III vs Pirin Razlog

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia III 85 / 100

Pirin Razlog 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSKA Sofia III Pirin Razlog

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: CSKA Sofia III stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CSKA Sofia III scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Pirin Razlog's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia III VS Pirin Razlog

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38