Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Brahimi M.
20' Event
Sensi S.
Assist: Brahimi M.
28'
Kerchev V.

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSKA Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CSKA Sofia
30%
Draws
23%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cherno More haven't matched CSKA Sofia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Cherno More
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.92 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs CSKA Sofia
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More
0:0
Apr 22, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
CSKA Sofia vs Cherno More
2:1
Apr 9, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Cherno More vs CSKA Sofia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sensi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zwarts J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Cherno More Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidney C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 85 / 100
Cherno More 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Cherno More's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: CSKA Sofia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Cherno More
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
15 Oct
CSKA Sofia
1 : 2
Monaco
11 Oct
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More

(Away)
11 Oct
Cherno More
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)