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CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Apostolov R.
Assist: Vidakovic V.
17' Event
Zwarts J.
Assist: Brahimi M.
31'
Piedrahita A.

AI Match Summary

The efbet League game between CSKA Sofia and Dunav Ruse finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSKA Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CSKA Sofia
35%
Draws
32%
Dunav Ruse
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Dunav Ruse haven't matched CSKA Sofia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CSKA Sofia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Dunav Ruse
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 21 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
3:1
Dec 14, 2019 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
4:0
Aug 25, 2019 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs CSKA Sofia
1:1
Nov 24, 2018 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs CSKA Sofia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zwarts J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Dunav Ruse Compare

Top Goalscorer Apostolov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 41 / 100
Dunav Ruse 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Dunav Ruse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunav Ruse has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: CSKA Sofia scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

CSKA Sofia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Dunav Ruse
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
22 Oct
Nordsjaelland
2 : 2
CSKA Sofia
18 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
15 Oct
CSKA Sofia
1 : 2
Monaco
11 Oct
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
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Dunav Ruse

(Away)
17 Oct
Rilski Sportist
2 : 3
Dunav Ruse
11 Oct
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Dunav Ruse
03 Oct
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 10 9 1 0 23:4 28
2 CSKA Sofia 11 8 3 0 27:9 27
3 Ludogorets 10 8 2 0 21:7 26
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 11 7 1 3 21:13 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 11 5 2 4 15:17 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Dunav Ruse 11 2 2 7 13:21 8
11 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
12 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
13 Septemvri Sofia 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Cherno More 11 1 3 7 11:22 6
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
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