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CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia host Ludogorets in the efbet League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: CSKA Sofia at 1.71 goals for, 1.06 against; Ludogorets at 1.7 for, 0.87 against. Past meetings favor CSKA Sofia slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.63) back CSKA Sofia to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
CSKA Sofia
30%
Draws
38%
Ludogorets
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia have won more games recently than Ludogorets.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 14%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Ludogorets
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.71 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
1:0
May 3, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
0:0
Apr 21, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 35 / 100
Ludogorets 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Ludogorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: CSKA Sofia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: CSKA Sofia scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Ludogorets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Ludogorets
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
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Ludogorets

(Away)
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0
Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)