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Stadium Background

CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Nikolaou D.
36' Event
Nuss T.
Assist: Poungouras A.
41'
Itu C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
CSKA Sofia
20%
Draws
35%
OFI Crete
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • OFI Crete haven't matched CSKA Sofia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia a 45% chance of winning this.
  • CSKA Sofia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor OFI Crete, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
OFI Crete Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia OFI Crete
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.96 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Europa League
CSKA Sofia vs OFI Crete
0:2
Aug 20, 2026 Europa League
OFI Crete vs CSKA Sofia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSKA Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

OFI Crete Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuss T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Theodosoulakis I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 58 / 100
OFI Crete 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia OFI Crete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CSKA Sofia's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

OFI Crete's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS OFI Crete
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
11 Oct
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 5

OFI Crete

(Away)
10 Oct
AEK
3 : 0
OFI Crete
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
12 Sept
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 1
OFI Crete
09 Sept
OFI Crete
3 : 0
Chrisoupolis
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
TBD -
Vojvodina 1
Ferencvaros 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 3
Zilina 2
TBD -
Pafos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 1
Universitatea Cluj 0
TBD -
PAOK -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Anderlecht -
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aluminij 0
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv -
Qarabag Agdam 6
Vestri 0
CSKA Sofia 5
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente 3
Ferencvaros 4
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
KuPS -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps -
TBD -
TBD -
Omonia -
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Mjallby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split 2
Pafos 4
TBD -
Salzburg -
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Kyiv 2
PAOK 5
Hammarby 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan -
TBD -
TBD -
Klaksvik -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Tromso 1
Hradec Kralove 4
Besiktas 3
Midtjylland 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
St. Gallen 2
Benfica 6
TBD -
Hearts -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv 6
Qarabag Agdam 0
CSKA Sofia 1
Semi-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Ferencvaros 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
KuPS 2
Univ. Craiova 3
TBD -
Ararat-Armenia -
St. Truiden -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Omonia 2
Crvena zvezda -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Shamrock Rovers 4
KF Egnatia 6
TBD -
Lillestrom -
Jagiellonia 3
Rangers 2
Larne 1
Iberia 1999 2
Mjallby -
TBD -
Pafos 3
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty -
TBD -
PAOK 2
Anderlecht 4
Lech Poznan 6
Klaksvik 0
Thun 5
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hradec Kralove 0
Besiktas 2
TBD -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Benfica 7
Hearts 2
TBD -
Aarhus -
OFI Crete -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3
CSKA Sofia 4
Final
Trabzonspor 0
Ferencvaros 5
Univ. Craiova 1
Ararat-Armenia 2
St. Truiden 3
Omonia 4
Crvena zvezda 4
Plzen 5
KF Egnatia 1
Lillestrom 2
Jagiellonia 6
Iberia 1999 1
Mjallby 0
Salzburg 4
Kairat Almaty 0
Anderlecht 6
Lech Poznan 9
Thun 2
Besiktas 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Benfica 6
Aarhus 2
OFI Crete 5
CSKA Sofia 0