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CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jun 27, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia host Qarabag Agdam in the Club Friendly. Form suggests where the edge lies here. CSKA Sofia have averaged 0.63 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Qarabag Agdam's 2 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Qarabag Agdam slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.63, favoring CSKA Sofia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
CSKA Sofia
28%
Draws
22%
Qarabag Agdam
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: CSKA Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Qarabag Agdam haven't matched CSKA Sofia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 14%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Qarabag Agdam
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 18 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
0:0
Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
0:1
Jul 7, 2021 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
0:1
Jun 24, 2017 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 48 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Qarabag Agdam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Qarabag Agdam conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CSKA Sofia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Qarabag Agdam
0.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%