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CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jun 27, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia host Qarabag Agdam in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. CSKA Sofia have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.15 conceded recently, against Qarabag Agdam's 1.93 scored and 1.15 conceded. Past meetings favor Qarabag Agdam slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 30, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.31, favoring CSKA Sofia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CSKA Sofia
15%
Draws
54%
Qarabag Agdam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Qarabag Agdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Qarabag Agdam haven't matched CSKA Sofia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 18%
Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Qarabag Agdam
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Europa League
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
1:0
Jul 23, 2026 Europa League
Qarabag Agdam vs CSKA Sofia
0:0
Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
0:0
Jul 4, 2023 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
0:1
Jul 7, 2021 Club Friendly
CSKA Sofia vs Qarabag Agdam
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 40 / 100
Qarabag Agdam 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Qarabag Agdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSKA Sofia found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: Qarabag Agdam conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

CSKA Sofia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Qarabag Agdam
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4
CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
27 Aug
CSKA Sofia
0 : 2
OFI Crete
20 Aug
OFI Crete
3 : 0
CSKA Sofia
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Qarabag Agdam

(Away)
06 Sept
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 2
Araz PFK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
27 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
1 : 4
Twente
20 Aug
Twente
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
17 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
3 : 1
Shamakhi
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