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CSKA Sofia vs Trabzonspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Stadion Balgarska Armia, Sofia
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSKA Sofia host Trabzonspor in the Conference League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Trabzonspor have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while CSKA Sofia have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.96. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.19 - 1.75) back CSKA Sofia to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
CSKA Sofia
20%
Draws
48%
Trabzonspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trabzonspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia have won more games recently than Trabzonspor.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 12%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSKA Sofia Trabzonspor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.96 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSKA Sofia 35 / 100
Trabzonspor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSKA Sofia Trabzonspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trabzonspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSKA Sofia scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Trabzonspor let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

CSKA Sofia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Trabzonspor's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSKA Sofia VS Trabzonspor
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSKA Sofia

(Home)
05 Nov
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia
31 Oct
CSKA Sofia
0 : 0
Slavia Sofia
26 Oct
CSKA Sofia
2 : 0
Ludogorets
22 Oct
Nordsjaelland
2 : 2
CSKA Sofia
18 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
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Trabzonspor

(Away)
05 Nov
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Freiburg
01 Nov
Trabzonspor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
26 Oct
Rizespor
3 : 4
Trabzonspor
22 Oct
Trabzonspor
2 : 0
Hearts
19 Oct
Trabzonspor
2 : 0
Besiktas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 Panathinaikos 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
3 Twente 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
4 Monaco 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
5 Brighton 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
6 Brann 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
7 FC Copenhagen 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
8 Univ. Craiova 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
9 Mjallby 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
10 St. Truiden 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
11 Ajax 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
12 Trabzonspor 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
13 Hajduk Split 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
14 Freiburg 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
15 Crvena zvezda 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
16 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
17 Braga 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
18 Gent 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
19 Riga FC 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
20 Thun 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
21 Borac Banja Luka 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
22 Lincoln Red Imps 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
23 Jablonec 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
24 Aarhus 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
25 Nordsjaelland 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
26 KF Egnatia 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
27 Kairat Almaty 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
28 CSKA Sofia 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
29 Iberia 1999 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
30 Pafos 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
31 Getafe 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
32 Hearts 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
33 KuPS 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
34 Midtjylland 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
35 Inter Escaldes 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)