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CSM Alexandria vs Adunatii-Copaceni

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Alexandria play Adunatii-Copaceni in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. CSM Alexandria are favorites here. Recently, CSM Alexandria averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Adunatii-Copaceni averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, CSM Alexandria won 1, Adunatii-Copaceni won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for CSM Alexandria and 1.00 for Adunatii-Copaceni. This points to a CSM Alexandria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
CSM Alexandria
25%
Draws
15%
Adunatii-Copaceni
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • CSM Alexandria picked up more points recently compared to Adunatii-Copaceni.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 23%
Adunatii-Copaceni Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria Adunatii-Copaceni
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.61 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Adunatii-Copaceni vs CSM Alexandria
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Adunatii-Copaceni
3:0
Aug 29, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Adunatii-Copaceni vs CSM Alexandria
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 59 / 100
Adunatii-Copaceni 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria Adunatii-Copaceni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick CSM Alexandria & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Alexandria attacking → ← attacking Adunatii-Copaceni

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Alexandria scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Adunatii-Copaceni let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

CSM Alexandria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Adunatii-Copaceni lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 25
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CS U Craiova 220154137:1649
2Cetatea Turnu Magurele20127141:1943
3Academica Bals20125335:1841
4LPS HD Clinceni20123544:1939
5CSM Alexandria20106435:1936
6Curtisoara2084828:3128
7Progresul Spartac20821033:3326
8SCM Dunarea Giurgiu20521319:3817
9Adunatii-Copaceni20411516:3613
10CSO Filiasi20321515:4211
11Nanov20221613:458
12FC U Craiova00000:0-106