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CSM Alexandria vs Curtisoara Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 game between CSM Alexandria and Curtisoara finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Alexandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
CSM Alexandria
15%
Draws
32%
Curtisoara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • CSM Alexandria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CSM Alexandria a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 19%
Curtisoara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria Curtisoara
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.67 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Curtisoara
0:2
Mar 6, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs Curtisoara
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Curtisoara vs CSM Alexandria
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs Curtisoara
1:1
Oct 11, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Curtisoara vs CSM Alexandria
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 85 / 100
Curtisoara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria Curtisoara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Alexandria scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Curtisoara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

CSM Alexandria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSM Alexandria VS Curtisoara
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Alexandria

(Home)
02 Oct
Voluntari 2
0 : 2
CSM Alexandria
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
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Curtisoara

(Away)
26 Sept
Curtisoara
2 : 0
CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin
22 Sept
Pausesti-Otasau
0 : 1
Curtisoara
19 Sept
Curtisoara
1 : 3
CSO Filiasi
12 Sept
Curtisoara
1 : 4
CS U Craiova 2
05 Sept
Farcasesti
3 : 1
Curtisoara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CS U Craiova 2 20 15 4 1 37:16 49
2 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 20 12 7 1 41:19 43
3 Academica Bals 20 12 5 3 35:18 41
4 LPS HD Clinceni 20 12 3 5 44:19 39
5 CSM Alexandria 20 10 6 4 35:19 36
6 Curtisoara 20 8 4 8 28:31 28
7 Progresul Spartac 20 8 2 10 33:33 26
8 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 20 5 2 13 19:38 17
9 Adunatii-Copaceni 20 4 1 15 16:36 13
10 CSO Filiasi 20 3 2 15 15:42 11
11 Nanov 20 2 2 16 13:45 8
12 FC U Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 -106
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)