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CSM Alexandria vs LPS HD Clinceni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Alexandria host LPS HD Clinceni in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. LPS HD Clinceni have shipped 1.8 goals a game lately, while CSM Alexandria have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.64. Past meetings favor CSM Alexandria slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 21, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.69) point toward CSM Alexandria. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
CSM Alexandria
20%
Draws
35%
LPS HD Clinceni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • CSM Alexandria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 13%
LPS HD Clinceni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria LPS HD Clinceni
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.64 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs LPS HD Clinceni
2:1
Sep 12, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
LPS HD Clinceni vs CSM Alexandria
2:1
Jul 30, 2025 Romanian Cup
LPS HD Clinceni vs CSM Alexandria
1:0
Nov 15, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
LPS HD Clinceni vs CSM Alexandria
0:3
Sep 14, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs LPS HD Clinceni
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 30 / 100
LPS HD Clinceni 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria LPS HD Clinceni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LPS HD Clinceni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

CSM Alexandria has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: CSM Alexandria scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CSM Alexandria VS LPS HD Clinceni
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Alexandria

(Home)
09 Oct
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Din. Bucuresti 2
02 Oct
Voluntari 2
0 : 2
CSM Alexandria
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
Page 1 of 6

LPS HD Clinceni

(Away)
10 Oct
Progresul Mogosoaia
2 : 1
LPS HD Clinceni
02 Oct
Cetatea Turnu Magurele
2 : 2
LPS HD Clinceni
25 Sept
LPS HD Clinceni
5 : 1
Din. Bucuresti 2
22 Sept
Voluntari 2
2 : 3
LPS HD Clinceni
18 Sept
LPS HD Clinceni
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omega Sport 8 6 2 0 11:5 20
2 CSM Alexandria 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
3 LPS HD Clinceni 8 4 2 2 19:13 14
4 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 8 3 5 0 14:9 14
5 Progresul Mogosoaia 8 3 3 2 11:12 12
6 Adunatii-Copaceni 8 4 0 4 7:8 12
7 Oxigen Bucuresti 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
8 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 8 2 3 3 19:13 9
9 Din. Bucuresti 2 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
10 Voluntari 2 8 2 1 5 8:12 7
11 Progresul Spartac 8 2 0 6 10:11 6
12 FCSB 2 8 1 1 6 9:24 4
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 (Relegation Group)