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CSM Alexandria vs Triumf Barca

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010 game between CSM Alexandria and Triumf Barca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Triumf Barca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
CSM Alexandria
15%
Draws
20%
Triumf Barca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSM Alexandria come out ahead of Triumf Barca on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on CSM Alexandria taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 17%
Triumf Barca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Alexandria Triumf Barca
Matches Played 35 35
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 26
Goals Scored 1.57 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.23 3.51
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Triumf Barca vs CSM Alexandria
2:1
Nov 17, 2009 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Alexandria vs Triumf Barca
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Alexandria 84 / 100
Triumf Barca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Alexandria Triumf Barca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Triumf Barca conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

Attacking prowess: CSM Alexandria scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CSM Alexandria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSM Alexandria VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Alexandria

(Home)
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
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Triumf Barca

(Away)
20 Jul
Recolta Danceu
3 : 1
Triumf Barca
03 Jun
Piatra Olt
6 : 0
Triumf Barca
27 May
Triumf Barca
3 : 0
FC Drobeta-Turnu Severin
20 May
Jiul Rovinari
6 : 0
Triumf Barca
14 May
Triumf Barca
1 : 11
Visina Noua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olt Slatina 34 23 9 2 75:27 78
2 FCM Targoviste 34 24 4 6 58:20 76
3 Triumf Barca 34 18 5 11 53:37 59
4 Visina Noua 34 17 4 13 45:32 55
5 Oltchim Ramnicu 34 17 4 13 54:51 55
6 Prometeu Craiova 34 14 12 8 44:27 54
7 Campionii Arges 2 34 16 5 13 54:48 53
8 CSM Alexandria 34 13 10 11 39:31 49
9 Albota 34 13 9 12 41:36 48
10 FC Caracal 34 14 6 14 44:42 48
11 Ghecon Lapusata 34 14 6 14 48:44 48
12 Matasari 34 14 5 15 37:40 47
13 Progresul Corabia 34 14 4 16 57:55 46
14 Ralbex 34 12 7 15 44:49 43
15 Minerul Motru 34 12 5 17 72:63 41
16 Armata Craiova 33 7 8 18 30:55 29
17 CS U Craiova 2 34 6 3 25 33:73 21
18 Juventus Bascov 33 3 2 28 12:110 11
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie A 2010/2011 (Main)