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CSM Deva vs Progresul Pecica

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7
Fri, Sep 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Deva host Progresul Pecica in the Liga 3 - Seria 7. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. CSM Deva have averaged 2.18 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Progresul Pecica's 1.72 scored and 1.66 conceded. Head-to-head, CSM Deva have won 1 to Progresul Pecica's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2019, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.65 - 1.02) back CSM Deva to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CSM Deva
30%
Draws
23%
Progresul Pecica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSM Deva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Progresul Pecica come out ahead of CSM Deva on wins alone.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Progresul Pecica taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CSM Deva Clean Sheet 20%
Progresul Pecica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Deva Progresul Pecica
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.18 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Deva vs Progresul Pecica
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Deva 28 / 100
Progresul Pecica 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Deva Progresul Pecica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Pecica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

CSM Deva's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Progresul Pecica has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

CSM Deva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSM Deva VS Progresul Pecica
1.67 Goals Scored 1.38
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Deva

(Home)
04 Sept
Timisul Sag
1 : 1
CSM Deva
28 Aug
Politehnica Timisoara II
1 : 4
CSM Deva
07 Aug
Unirea Alba-Iulia
15 : 0
CSM Deva
18 May
CSO Filiasi
0 : 2
CSM Deva
10 May
CSM Deva
2 : 2
Viitorul Simian
Page 1 of 6

Progresul Pecica

(Away)
04 Sept
Progresul Pecica
5 : 2
Politehnica Timisoara II
29 Aug
Viitorul Arad
0 : 0
Progresul Pecica
29 Jul
Timisul Sag
1 : 0
Progresul Pecica
20 Jun
Progresul Pecica
0 : 3
FC UTA Arad
16 May
Univ. Alba Iulia
6 : 2
Progresul Pecica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blaj 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 CSM Deva 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Progresul Pecica 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
4 Timisul Sag 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
5 Unirea Santana 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
6 Unirea Alba-Iulia 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Univ. Alba Iulia 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
8 Viitorul Arad 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
9 Metalurgistul Cugir 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
10 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
11 AFC Nera Bogodinti 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
12 Politehnica Timisoara II 2 0 0 2 3:9 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 7 (Relegation Group)