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CSM Deva vs Progresul Pecica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 7 game between CSM Deva and Progresul Pecica finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Deva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CSM Deva
15%
Draws
21%
Progresul Pecica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Deva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Progresul Pecica have managed 1.69 goals a game lately — CSM Deva are scoring more at 1.93.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on CSM Deva taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
CSM Deva Clean Sheet 12%
Progresul Pecica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Deva Progresul Pecica
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 7
CSM Deva vs Progresul Pecica
3:1
Nov 29, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSM Deva vs Progresul Pecica
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Deva 83 / 100
Progresul Pecica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Deva Progresul Pecica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Deva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSM Deva scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Progresul Pecica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

CSM Deva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSM Deva VS Progresul Pecica
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Deva

(Home)
06 Nov
CSM Deva
2 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara II
30 Oct
CSM Deva
1 : 4
Viitorul Arad
24 Oct
AFC Nera Bogodinti
1 : 2
CSM Deva
16 Oct
CSM Deva
1 : 2
Unirea Alba-Iulia
09 Oct
Metalurgistul Cugir
0 : 2
CSM Deva
Page 1 of 6

Progresul Pecica

(Away)
06 Nov
Progresul Pecica
2 : 3
Viitorul Arad
30 Oct
Progresul Pecica
2 : 1
AFC Nera Bogodinti
24 Oct
Unirea Alba-Iulia
4 : 0
Progresul Pecica
17 Oct
Progresul Pecica
1 : 2
Metalurgistul Cugir
09 Oct
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii
5 : 0
Progresul Pecica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unirea Alba-Iulia 11 8 2 1 32:5 26
2 Timisul Sag 12 8 2 2 18:7 26
3 Viitorul Arad 12 7 3 2 22:16 24
4 CSM Deva 12 6 3 3 26:20 21
5 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 12 5 4 3 20:15 19
6 Blaj 11 5 4 2 21:18 19
7 Unirea Santana 11 5 2 4 15:9 17
8 Metalurgistul Cugir 11 3 4 4 14:16 13
9 Progresul Pecica 12 4 1 7 20:28 13
10 Univ. Alba Iulia 12 1 4 7 10:22 7
11 Politehnica Timisoara II 12 2 1 9 13:29 7
12 AFC Nera Bogodinti 12 0 2 10 5:31 2
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 7 (Relegation Group)