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CSM Oltenita vs Afumati

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Oltenita play Afumati in the Liga 3 - Seria 2 2018/2019. Afumati are favorites here. Recently, CSM Oltenita averaged 0.88 goals scored and 3.16 conceded. Afumati averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, CSM Oltenita won 0, Afumati won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 13, 2021 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for CSM Oltenita and 1.80 for Afumati. This points to a Afumati double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
CSM Oltenita
15%
Draws
72%
Afumati
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afumati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CSM Oltenita picked up more points recently compared to Afumati.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
CSM Oltenita Clean Sheet 11%
Afumati Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Oltenita Afumati
Matches Played 32 39
Wins 4 22
Draws 3 3
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 0.88 2.15
Goals Conceded 3.16 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 3
CSM Oltenita vs Afumati
0:5
Sep 11, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Afumati vs CSM Oltenita
4:0
Apr 24, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Afumati vs CSM Oltenita
5:0
Oct 31, 2020 Liga 3 - Seria 3
CSM Oltenita vs Afumati
2:7
Apr 10, 2019 Liga 3 - Seria 2
CSM Oltenita vs Afumati
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Oltenita 14 / 100
Afumati 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Oltenita Afumati

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afumati Win (2)
Secondary Pick Afumati & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Oltenita attacking → ← attacking Afumati

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Oltenita scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Afumati let in goals in 56% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 5.80 goals.

CSM Oltenita went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Afumati lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 69
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rapid Bucuresti28243197:1875
2Afumati28204476:2664
3Progresul Spartac28193664:2660
4Unirea Slobozia28193668:3560
5Popesti Leordeni281531055:3948
6Tunari281110757:3143
7Inainte Modelu281131445:5436
8CS Faurei281051335:5935
9Axiopolis Cernavoda28891136:5133
10Medgidia28951433:6032
11FCSB 228931652:6130
12Agricola Borcea28931647:8430
13Sportul Chiscani28841651:6628
14CSM Oltenita28661631:6124
15Dobrogea Tulcea2800284:800